Crude oil hard to break floor price, domestic oil price adjustment or continue to sleep-步步高i606

Crude oil is difficult to break the floor price of domestic refined oil price or continue to sleep Xinhua news agency in Shanghai on February 28th News Title: crude oil is difficult to break the floor price of domestic refined oil price or continue to sleep Xinhua News Agency reporter Liu Xue in February 29th 24, China’s refined oil price adjustment window of time will come again. However, since the $40 a barrel floor price setting, international oil price has been fluctuated around 30 dollars a barrel, the price is far lower than the floor line, therefore, the industry is expected round of domestic refined oil price will continue to maintain a "sleep" state. According to the data released by the Xinhua oil price system in February 26th, the average change rate of crude oil in February 25th was 3.46%. February 26th is the ninth working day of the valuation cycle. The national development and Reform Commission in January 13th this year issued a notice, decided to improve the refined oil pricing mechanism, the domestic refined oil regulation set limit, establish the risk reserve price regulation. When domestic crude oil prices are anchored in the international market, crude oil prices are lower than $40 a barrel, the domestic refined oil prices are no longer lowered. Has shrunk by seventy or eighty per cent of the international oil prices have been at the bottom level, however, is that hunters still continue to short, the market is still large differences between. Recently, the volatility of the international oil price has increased sharply, with the daily change of more than 5% and 6%, but the price level is still hovering around 30 U. S. dollars per barrel. In the expert opinion, the current international oil prices have increased turbulence, played a role in fueling the speculative fund "be quick to switch sides. Looking at the recent changes in the positions of international speculative funds, we can see that the speculative fund mentality is not stable and frequently faces changes". According to statistics released the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, from January 12th to February 16th when the week, the New York Mercantile Exchange crude oil futures fund net speculative positions in the first two weeks of continuous increase of 25.8%, then fell for three consecutive weeks, fell 22.7%. At present, the speculative fund net positions dropped to 159 thousand hands, reaching a low point in the past four years. JOYOU Information Analyst Ma Yan believes that the current international crude oil oversupply difficult to alleviate, coupled with weak on big oil consuming countries like the U.S. economic trends, expected short-term international oil prices remain under pressure, a short time is difficult to stand above $40 a barrel, in the "floor price" policy, the domestic oil price is still difficult to achieve short-term adjustment. Anxunsi oil industry analyst Yang Dan said that this round of oil price adjustment period, although Russia, Saudi Arabia and other agreements will be frozen in January crude oil output level, but the U.S. crude oil inventories continue to suppress the high innovation foundation, international oil prices continue to hover at around $30 a barrel. The price range stipulated by the state $40 "floor price" is still a large gap, so in February 29th the domestic gasoline and diesel retail price adjustment will be "three stop". Although subject to the floor line constraint, the domestic refined oil price adjustment has been more than a month of continuous adjustment, but the actual market on the wholesale market has been in dire straits. According to JOYOU information monitoring, in the recent round of refined oil price adjustment cycle, the country four standard 93 gasoline theory

原油难破地板价 国内成品油调价或继续休眠   新华社上海2月28日专电题:原油难破“地板价” 国内成品油调价或继续休眠   新华社记者刘雪   2月29日24时,我国成品油调价时间窗口将再次到来。不过,自从每桶40美元的“地板价”设定之后,国际油价一直在每桶30美元上下波动,远低于调价地板线,因此,业内预计本轮国内成品油调价还将继续保持“休眠”状态。   根据新华社石油价格系统2月26日发布的数据,2月25日一揽子原油平均价格变化率为3.46%。2月26日是本计价周期的第九个工作日。   国家发展改革委在今年1月13日发出通知,决定完善成品油定价形成机制,设定国内成品油调控下限,建立油价调控风险准备金。当国内成品油价格挂靠的国际市场原油价格低于每桶40美元时,国内成品油价格不再下调。   已经缩水百分之七八十的国际油价已经处于底部水平,然而,是就此抄底还是继续做空,市场分歧依然较大。近期国际油价动荡幅度明显加剧,单日涨跌幅逾5%、6%的情况频繁出现,但价格水平仍在每桶30美元附近徘徊。   在专家看来,当前国际油价之所以加剧动荡,投机基金的“朝秦暮楚”起到推波助澜的作用。观察近期国际投机基金的持仓变化情况可以看出,投机基金心态并不稳定,频繁“变脸”。   根据美国商品期货管理委员会发布的统计数据,自1月12日当周至2月16日当周,纽约商品交易所原油期货中投机基金净多持仓量先是连续两周大幅提升25.8%,随后又连续三周回落,下跌22.7%。当前投机基金净多持仓量降至15.9万手,创出近四年来的低点。   中宇资讯分析师马燕认为,眼下国际原油供应过剩的局面难以缓解,再加上美国等石油消费大国经济走势疲软,预计短期内国际油价走势继续承压,短时间内难以站上每桶40美元上方,在“地板价”政策下,国内油价短期仍难以实现调整。   安迅思成品油行业分析师杨丹表示,在此轮成品油调价周期内,尽管俄罗斯、沙特等达成协议将原油日产量冻结在1月份水平,但美国原油库存继续创新高打压着基础面,国际油价持续在每桶30美元附近徘徊。该价位距离国家规定的40美元的“地板价”仍有较大差距,因此2月29日国内汽柴油零售价调整将遭遇“三连停”。   虽然受制于地板线的约束,国内成品油调价已连续一个多月未调整,但实际市场上的批发行情一直水深火热。据中宇资讯监测,在最近这轮成品油调价周期内,国四标准93号汽油和0号柴油批发均价分别下跌51元和132元;国五标准92号汽油和0号柴油批发均价分别下跌85元和206元。   杨丹认为,在国内成品油批发市场,元宵节过后,基建、工厂等行业陆续结束放假状态,柴油需求后期有望逐渐回暖。另外,经历过较长时间的库存消耗,目前下游客户补货热情提高,批发市场价格跌势或放缓。汽油方面,随着节日气氛逐渐消散,车辆出行率回归正常,汽油需求逐渐下滑并恢复常态,预计后期价格难以支撑,恐有下跌趋势。 进入【新浪财经股吧】讨论相关的主题文章: